I slept on my picks more than a day, but after going 0-3 in the Thanksgiving games, I needed some additional time to get my head straight. Even with four days to think about the games, the results don't seem too clear, but I'll precede with the picks anyway.
CINCINNATI (-14) over Cleveland- This line seems high, and it is, but I'm not buying the Cleveland rejuventation hype. What they did last week was against Detroit, not division-leading Cincy. Also, after Cincy's last loss (a similar "let-down game" loss to Houston), they came back and thrashed the Bears 45-10. I think they make a similar statement this week.
Carolina (+3) over NEW YORK JETS- Take. The. Points.
Pittsburgh (+8.5) over BALTIMORE- Now that we know the line for this game, I can make a real prediction...and I'm still staying with Pittsburgh. I always liked Dennis Dixon, and while he may not be the long term answer, I think he comes out and has one of those "where did he come from" type games against an aging Baltimore D.
New England (pick'em) over NEW ORLEANS- I've wanted to pick New Orleans all week, but every time I've attempted to justify it, it doesn't seem right. The reasons; they are undefeated, they are at home, aren't real football reasons, and I think that New England is a better football team. I wouldn't be surprised one bit if New Orleans won, but I just wouldn't bet against the Pats, who have been in these situations before.
So far this week: 0-3
Sunday, November 29, 2009
Labels: betting guide, NFL, predictions
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