Sunday, September 26, 2010

Week 3 Betting Guide

Lock of the Week:

San Diego (-4) over SEATTLE- Exactly what has Seattle done to instill any type of confidence in a voter? Oh, they walloped San Francisco (who is much worse than originally expected) and got crushed by Denver (who is only marginal). Bolts, baby.

Season: 0-1

Underdog to Win Outright:

Titans (+2.5) over NEW YORK GIANTS- A 50/50 toss-up between two of the more underwhelming teams so far. Take the points.

Season: 1-0


Cleveland (+12) over BALTIMORE- Seems too high when the team giving 12 points has only scored 10 points each time out this season.


Pittsburgh (-1.5) over TAMPA BAY- A team quarterbacked by Charlie Batch is still the toughest opponent the Bucs have faced yet. Hard to see their undefeated season continuing.


Cincinnati (-3) over CAROLINA- When fans should be clamoring for the return of Jake Delhomme, you know your quarterback situation has gotten ugly. Hard to see the Panthers winning many games with Clausen or Moore.


Atlanta (+3) over NEW ORLEANS- New Orleans has yet to win a game by more than 3 points and Atlanta is better than either the Vikings or the Niners. New Orleans should win, but it will go down to the wire.


Detroit (+13) over MINNESOTA- Detroit is fun to watch but won’t win many games this year. I also don’t expect them to get blown out by 13 that often either, especially not against a Vikings team that Vegas remains oddly bullish on.


HOUSTON (-2.5) over Dallas- Wade Phillips doesn’t strike me as the type of coach that can pull his squad out of a crisis, which is where the Cowboys stand right now. After losing to their “little brother”, the crisis becomes full-blown and Mr. Phillips could find himself canned.


Washington (-4.5) over ST. LOUIS- My affinity for Steven Jackson and complete disdain for everything Washington makes it very tempting to pick St. Louis. But a look at the schedules persuaded me otherwise; while Washington has beaten Dallas and should have beaten Houston, St. Louis has only managed to hang tough with Arizona and Oakland.


Philadelphia (-2.5) over JACKSONVILLE- Not being able to stop the run could be a problem for Philly with MJD coming to town but for whatever reason, the Jags don’t scare me. Sure, they beat Denver in Week 1, but I expect to see a lot more of their Week 2 performance against San Diego from them.


Indianapolis (-5.5) over DENVER- Peyton Manning vs. Kyle Orton should never be only a 5.5 point spread.


ARIZONA (-4.5) over Oakland- Two straight playoff berths and only one year removed from a Super Bowl appearance and you only giving 4.5 at home to Oakland? All 55 Cards fans must be very depressed right now. Derek Anderson could be throwing blindfolded (really, would it make a difference?) and the Cards should be able to win by 10.

New York Jets (-1) over MIAMI- Is there a more confusing football team than the Jets? Preseason darlings who laid an egg in Week 1 and then came back and smacked the Pats in Week 2. While I can see them squeaking by Miami this week, I think the roller coaster ride will continue all season and everyone’s chic Super Bowl pick will miss the playoffs.


Green Bay (-3) over CHICAGO- Green Bay hasn’t looked great (it was Buffalo, people). Jay Cutler has. That is why this line is so low. Take it while you can and laugh all the way to the bank.

KANSAS CITY (+1.5) over San Francisco- When you are 0-2 and celebrated an overtime loss like it was a win you shouldn’t be favored on the road. No, I don’t believe in the Chiefs, but come on, shouldn’t they be given a little credit for a 2-0 start? And didn’t Arrowhead at least used to be tough to play in?


NEW ENGLAND (-15.5) over Buffalo- This is a huge line, and probably too big. But, I can’t seem to sell myself on any reason to pick Buffalo. They really could be the worst team in the league. Oh, right, Cleveland still exists.

Week 1: 7-8

Season: 7-8

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